Banking fragility in Colombia : an empirical analysis based on balance sheets
dc.audience | Policymakers | eng |
dc.audience | Researchers | eng |
dc.audience | Students | eng |
dc.audience | Teachers | eng |
dc.coverage.sucursal | Bogotá | eng |
dc.creator | Lozano-Espitia, Luis Ignacio | eng |
dc.creator.firma | Ignacio Lozano-Espitia | spa |
dc.date.accessioned | 2014-12-01T08:30:10Z | eng |
dc.date.available | 2014-12-01T08:30:10Z | eng |
dc.date.created | 2014-12-01 | eng |
dc.date.issued | 2014-12 | eng |
dc.description | En este documento se estudia la relación empírica entre las fuentes de fondeo del crédito y la vulnerabilidad financiera del Sistema Bancario Colombiano. El trabajo propone la estimación Bayesiana de modelos de regresión logística para identificar y predecir episodios de fragilidad bancaria asociados con las fuentes tradicionales y no tradicionales de fondeo, que utilizan los bancos para proveer crédito. En particular, el ejercicio estima la probabilidad de que se presenten eventos de fragilidad tanto para el sistema bancario agregado como para los bancos individuales con datos mensuales de las hojas de balance para el periodo 1996-2013. Los resultados muestran que el creciente uso de los recursos no tradicionales para fondear el crédito, especialmente en sus fases de expansión, son fuente potencial de fragilidad financiera. Por consiguiente, el monitoreo a dichos recursos, a través de la técnica propuesta, proporciona una herramienta para detectar esos eventos. | eng |
dc.description.abstract | In this paper, we study the empirical relationship between credit funding sources and the financial vulnerability of the Colombian banking system. We propose a statistical model to measure and predict banking fragility episodes associated with credit funding sources classified into retail deposits and wholesale funds. We compute the probability of financial fragility for both the aggregated banking system and the individual banks. Our approach performs a Bayesian averaging of estimated logit regression models with monthly balance sheet data between 1996 and 2013. The results show the increasing use of wholesale funding to support credit expansion is a potential source of financial fragility. Therefore, monitoring credit funding sources could provide an additional tool to warn against banking disruptions. | eng |
dc.format.extent | 16 páginas : ilustraciones, gráficas, tablas | eng |
dc.format.mimetype | eng | |
dc.identifier.handle | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12134/6514 | spa |
dc.identifier.uri | https://repositorio.banrep.gov.co/handle/20.500.12134/6514 | |
dc.language.iso | eng | eng |
dc.publisher | Banco de la República de Colombia | eng |
dc.relation.doi | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.espe.2014.10.001 | eng |
dc.relation.dotec | https://ideas.repec.org/a/col/000107/012407.html | spa |
dc.relation.ispartof | Artículos de revista | eng |
dc.relation.ispartofseries | Revista Ensayos Sobre Política Económica | eng |
dc.relation.issn | 0120-4483 | eng |
dc.relation.isversionof | Revista Ensayos Sobre Política Económica; Vol. 32. No. 75. Diciembre, 2014. Pág.: 48-63. | eng |
dc.relation.repec | https://ideas.repec.org/a/bdr/ensayo/v32y2014i75p48-63.html | spa |
dc.rights.accessRights | Open Access | eng |
dc.rights.cc | Atribucion-NoComercial-CompartirIgual CC BY-NC-SA 4.0 | eng |
dc.rights.spa | Acceso abierto | spa |
dc.rights.uri | https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ | eng |
dc.source.bibliographicCitation | Agur, I. (2013). Wholesale bank funding, capital requirements and credit rationing. Journal of Financial Stability, 9(1), 38–45. | eng |
dc.source.bibliographicCitation | Bordo, M., & Haubrich, J. (2010). Credit crises, money and contractions: An historical view. Journal of Monetary Economics, 57, 1–18. | eng |
dc.source.bibliographicCitation | Borio, C. (2012). The financial cycle and macroeconomics: What have we learnt? In BIS Working Paper 395, Bank for International Settlements. | eng |
dc.source.handleRepec | RepEc:bdr:ensayo:v:32:y:2014:i:75:p:48-63 | spa |
dc.subject | Ciclo del crédito | eng |
dc.subject | Estabilidad financiera | eng |
dc.subject | Hoja de balance | eng |
dc.subject | Modelo de regresión logística | eng |
dc.subject | Promedio Bayesiano de modelos | eng |
dc.subject.jel | C23 - Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models | eng |
dc.subject.jel | C52 - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection | eng |
dc.subject.jel | C53 - Forecasting and Prediction Methods; Simulation Methods | eng |
dc.subject.jel | G01 - Financial Crises | eng |
dc.subject.jel | G20 - Financial Institutions and Services: General | eng |
dc.subject.jel | G21 - Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages | eng |
dc.subject.jelspa | C11 - Análisis bayesiano: generalidades | eng |
dc.subject.jelspa | C23 - Modelos uniecuacionales; variables simples: Modelos con datos de panel; Modelos espacio-temporales | eng |
dc.subject.jelspa | C52 - Evaluación, contraste y selección de modelos | eng |
dc.subject.jelspa | C53 - Métodos de pronóstico y predicción; métodos de simulación | eng |
dc.subject.jelspa | G01 - Crisis financiera | spa |
dc.subject.jelspa | G20 - Instituciones y servicios financieros: Generalidades | eng |
dc.subject.jelspa | G21 - Bancos; Instituciones de depósito; Instituciones Microfinancieras; Hipotecas | eng |
dc.subject.keyword | Credit cycle | eng |
dc.subject.keyword | Financial stability | eng |
dc.subject.keyword | Balance sheet | eng |
dc.subject.keyword | Logistic model regression | eng |
dc.subject.keyword | Bayesian model averaging | eng |
dc.subject.lemb | Crédito -- Colombia -- 1996-2013 | eng |
dc.subject.lemb | Deuda pública -- Colombia -- 1996-2013 | eng |
dc.subject.lemb | Préstamos bancarios -- Colombia -- 1996-2013 | eng |
dc.title | Banking fragility in Colombia : an empirical analysis based on balance sheets | eng |
dc.title.alternative | Fragilidad bancaria en Colombia : un análisis basado en las hojas de balance | eng |
dc.type | Article | eng |
dc.type.hasversion | Published Version | eng |
dc.type.spa | Artículo | eng |
Files
Original bundle
1 - 1 of 1
Loading...
- Name:
- v32y2014i75p48-63.pdf
- Size:
- 2.54 MB
- Format:
- Adobe Portable Document Format
- Description:
- Banking fragility in Colombia. An empirical analysis based on balance sheets